Which cryptocurrencies, altcoins will survive in the future?

Which crypto currencies will make it over the next years is one of the more important questions in the crypto market and for cryptocurrency investors. Nobody wants to be holding the losing coins and the losses associated with it. But how does one go and determine qualitatively and quantitatively the signs that one should be looking for in order to avoid holding the declining altcoins that will go out of fashion and out of use? We suggest you to look for several metrics that can tell you the "health" of the coin and cryptocurrency:

• number of times the coin is mentioned on social media. When these numbers start drastically falling relative to others, most of the time, the price decline follows
• sentiment of social media posts and news about the coin. If there are many negative posts about the coin over a long period of time, it is not a good sign.
• market cap of cryptocurrency, relative to others. Well capitalized altcoins mean that investors have a high opinion on their survavibility.
• trading volume, relative to others. High trading volume indicates that a lot of investors are interested in and trades the cryptocurrency.
• developer activity. Developer activity of a cryptocurrency or blockchain project can be measured by looking at number of watches, stars, forks, commits, contributors, issues and pull requests at github page of the cryptocurrency project.
• funding, if project is funded by e.g. venture funds or other entities. The more funding and the more prominent are the backers, the better is the likelihood of survival in case of long, bear markets in the crypto space.

Let us now look in turn to the factors mentioned above, starting with number of social media mentions.

Social media mentions of coins

First let us check the number of daily social media mentions of the most "healthy" cryptocurrency - Bitcoin:



Note how the number of mentions is closely correlated with the Bitcoin price. This is a sign of healthy coins with large and rising interest of public. Let us look at another coin Verge, where the interest in coin declined along with price, but then in 2021 the social media mentions returned with some spikes together with rise in price:



Another example displaying the value in number of social mentions is Dogecoin, see how after years of disinterest in the coin, there were suddenly spikes in number of social media mentions, followed by a bull run of the Dogecoin: